2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and choose

The 2012 Euro Cup is into the last four teams, and when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon they shall be playing to face the winner from the Spain vs. Portugal game that can place later today.
Recent history between these teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't worry about days gone by, these are centered on the action taking place.
The German squad haven't beaten Italy inside a competitive match.
"We can't turnaround for the time, overlook over it, earlier times doesn't play a role inside our planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is that Germany never won against Italy in a very major tournament, but precisely what?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it's the perfect time for Germany to win as they are the favored at -135. The Over/Under number is website 2.5.
This game will probably be a tricky, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong method about this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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